General Unequal drops

[salars]

Hi

Wondering if unequal drops is a big problem everyone has

 

[PLMerry]

Its all the law of averages, some averages just seem to be a little less. For me its the sunglasses & the pistol grip. Then I'll get three in a row and something else will seem to never drop.

 

[cazmillon]

Lost and Found collection was always the worse for me. However in recent versions we now have increased drops of Kick Scooter. Still waiting for another 429 of them though

 

[Barkmi4 (Mike)]

That’s just maths. They all have equal chances of dropping, but the odds of them all dropping at equal rates is incredibly slim.
If you want to test this theory, try rolling 6 dice at one time. 6 Dice each with 6 numbers, you would expect 1 of each number to appear yes? See how long it takes for that to actually happen. But if you roll all 6 dice 100 times, each number would appear around 100 times.
Now, it’s been a while since I did statistics so I can’t remember the formula for standard deviations, but I would expect each number to appear 80-120 times in the example based on experience.

 

[Barkmi4 (Mike)]

The more times you complete a collection, the lower that variance (as a percentage) should be.
The images below aren’t true values as I will have used 1,000’s of treadmill collections, and maybe 10 test pilot collections, but the maximum difference in running wild is 57. The maximum difference from test pilot is 25. As a percentage, only counting visible collections, not used ones, is 5% and 108% variance respectively.

 

[salars]

This is really interesting !!!