The facts: Launch Ready Blue Chests Random Rates...

[Wasted Eagle]

Wondering what the random rates look like when opening a Launch Ready 'blue' Chest for space fuel? Well, I have tried to gather the facts opening all incoming blue chests and will try to continue to do so...

We'll hopefully see the evolution of the rates into stable numbers.

No bonuses are active during opening. I open them by batches of 100.

The total with this week's take included (400 chests):

 

[Harcourt]

Wondering what the random rates look like when opening a Launch Ready 'blue' Chest for space fuel?

Hi @Wasted Eagle

Very interesting !

To help me with my tired old eyes, am I right :-

PEB 7%
MS 8%
LFT 14%

Which would mean that 3 in every 10 chests, on average, would contain one of these items.

I don't like to think of myself as average, but in this instance chance would be a fine thing

Regards
Harcourt

 

[Wasted Eagle]

Hi @Wasted Eagle

Very interesting !

To help me with my tired old eyes, am I right :-

PEB 7%
MS 8%
LFT 14%

Which would mean that 3 in every 10 chests, on average, would contain one of these items.

I don't like to think of myself as average, but in this instance chance would be a fine thing

Regards
Harcourt

Thank you for the feedback. I'll help those 'tired old eyes' by adjusting the size.

You're right: on average it should almost be a 1 in 3 shot for high valued items...

 

[Harcourt]

Thank you for the confirmation of my figures.

It was not the size of the stats that I found difficult, rather a difficulty in distinguishing between the light and dark greens and blues.

Regards
Harcourt

 

[cats are awesome]

Thank you for the feedback. I'll help those 'tired old eyes' by adjusting the size.

You're right: on average it should almost be a 1 in 3 shot for high valued items...

I opened 6 today and I received 2 PEB's and 1 MS. I thought that was great!

 

[cats are awesome]

Thank you for the confirmation of my figures.

It was not the size of the stats that I found difficult, rather a difficulty in distinguishing between the light and dark greens and blues.

Regards
Harcourt

Ouch! I'm having the same issue, only with the light greens though...

 

[Captain WH Rollins]

Wondering what the random rates look like when opening a Launch Ready 'blue' Chest for space fuel? Well, I have tried to gather the facts opening all incoming blue chests and will try to continue to do so...

We'll hopefully see the evolution of the rates into stable numbers.

No bonuses are active during opening. I open them by batches of 100.

The total with this week's take included (400 chests):

A really brilliant piece of detective work with your blue chest launch figures. This is the sort of thing I've had in mind for sometime myself, but not the time to do it

 

[Agent_L]

@Wasted Eagle
Somehow I forgot to express how much I like your work. At first I wanted to ask about the raw numbers, but since the sample size was 100, percents translate to units 1:1.
Good job!

 

[Kesh]

https://www.airportcitygame.com/threads/opening-of-launch-boxes.8655/#post-124674
maybe to check this topic

 

[Wasted Eagle]

https://www.airportcitygame.com/threads/opening-of-launch-boxes.8655/#post-124674
maybe to check this topic

Checked!

Update: Interesting numbers on the 'old' thread, @Kesh .
I will continue my effort for a couple of reasons:

1. G! keeps changing the game (only 5 excavation maps from Duke, really!?) and since Gt City's numbers are a year old, it's reasonable to assume G! also fiddled with the random rates.

2. Those numbers aren't the same as mine, so far. Maybe after a 1000 or 2000 chests the numbers will be the same. Then I'll consider this debunked and end the thread.

3. Honestly? Who doesn't like a nice pie chart? Or pie in general...

I'll make a nice comparison when I hit the same number of chests opened as the 'old' one...

 

[Jgm85]

@Wasted Eagle Here's my results from about 50 batches of opening.

 

[Captain WH Rollins]

@Wasted Eagle Here's my results from about 50 batches of opening.

View attachment 3456

Another brilliant piece of detective work along side that of @Wasted Eagle

 

[Løssnus]

Here are my results from 557 boxes, First 300 was opened with Golden Dice active. Divided into batches/series of 100 boxes
I`m a bit surprised that the amount of Solid Fuel is not higher, I have around 1700 of them, but thats probably because 6 place and lower on red launches gives Solid Fuel

 

[Red Fox One]

Nice sets of data

I guess the % that GI sets are:

• PEB : 5
• MS : 10
• LFT : 15
• SF, EB, AS : 20
• SFT : 10

Total makes it 100%. Give the above numbers ~1-2% deviation and it seems like it matches with the data you guys provided.

 

[Agent_L]

Here are my results:

Additional Stabilizer	25	0.25	52	0.20	77	0.21
Explosive bolt	19	0.19	49	0.19	68	0.19
LFT	11	0.11	38	0.15	49	0.14
Main Stablizer	8	0.08	25	0.10	33	0.09
PEB	3	0.03	13	0.05	16	0.04
Small Fuel Tank	10	0.10	30	0.12	40	0.11
Solid Fuel	25	0.25	52	0.20	77	0.21
total	101	1.00	259	1.00	360	1.00

[th][td]batch
1[/td][td]%1[/td][td]batch
2[/td][td]%2[/td][td]both
batches[/td][td]%both[/td][/th]

I sadly waited to long to publish and I forgot which batch was with Golden Dice, I think it was the second one.

 

[Harcourt]

Hi All,

I have been recording the contents of the Launch Chests for the last 28 days.

Here are the results as Pie Charts.

With regard to my main game, I average 15 chests per each day's neighbour visits.

I used to click on Planetariums etc as quickly as I could. I then decided to slow down my clicks so that the coins dropped from the first item disappeared before clicking on the next item.
This seems to me to be more productive.

I also stopped opening all the daily haul of Launch Chests immediately. Instead I would open chests until I had a run of 5 chests all with the lower value items. I would then stop.

I don't know whether all of this actually helpful, but at least I feel more in control !!

For comparison, @Wasted Eagle had :-

PEB - 7%
MS --- 8%
LFT --14%

The second graph is for my support game. It has a restricted list of neighbours who want to be able to take part in the weekly Friday Green Small Item Launches.
Currently it has 6 hearts and averages 6 chests per day.
I also try to maximise the items required for green launches.

As a result the stats merely show the value of having neighbours with Planetariums will lead to more chests.

All this talk of pies is making me hungry !

Regards
Harcourt

 

[Captain WH Rollins]

Hi All,

I have been recording the contents of the Launch Chests for the last 28 days.

Here are the results as Pie Charts.

View attachment 3538


View attachment 3539

With regard to my main game, I average 15 chests per each day's neighbour visits.

I used to click on Planetariums etc as quickly as I could. I then decided to slow down my clicks so that the coins dropped from the first item disappeared before clicking on the next item.
This seems to me to be more productive.

I also stopped opening all the daily haul of Launch Chests immediately. Instead I would open chests until I had a run of 5 chests all with the lower value items. I would then stop.

I don't know whether all of this actually helpful, but at least I feel more in control !!

For comparison, @Wasted Eagle had :-

PEB - 7%
MS --- 8%
LFT --14%

The second graph is for my support game. It has a restricted list of neighbours who want to be able to take part in the weekly Friday Green Small Item Launches.
Currently it has 6 hearts and averages 6 chests per day.
I also try to maximise the items required for green launches.

As a result the stats merely show the value of having neighbours with Planetariums will lead to more chests.

All this talk of pies is making me hungry !

Regards
Harcourt

An excellent piece of work, very well done, it really is worth doing. If I just had the time I would do the same.

Regards
Captain WH Rollins

 

[Wasted Eagle]

Hi All,

I have been recording the contents of the Launch Chests for the last 28 days.

Here are the results as Pie Charts.

View attachment 3538


View attachment 3539

With regard to my main game, I average 15 chests per each day's neighbour visits.

I used to click on Planetariums etc as quickly as I could. I then decided to slow down my clicks so that the coins dropped from the first item disappeared before clicking on the next item.
This seems to me to be more productive.

I also stopped opening all the daily haul of Launch Chests immediately. Instead I would open chests until I had a run of 5 chests all with the lower value items. I would then stop.

I don't know whether all of this actually helpful, but at least I feel more in control !!

For comparison, @Wasted Eagle had :-

PEB - 7%
MS --- 8%
LFT --14%

The second graph is for my support game. It has a restricted list of neighbours who want to be able to take part in the weekly Friday Green Small Item Launches.
Currently it has 6 hearts and averages 6 chests per day.
I also try to maximise the items required for green launches.

As a result the stats merely show the value of having neighbours with Planetariums will lead to more chests.

All this talk of pies is making me hungry !

Regards
Harcourt

Great work! I'll update mine later this week. I almost have the stats for 800 more chests...

 

[Kesh]

here is some basic statistic from me. First number represent LFT, second MS and third PEBs. It was done on sample of 100 chests per round.
8/9/11, 21/11/6, 14/13/6, 12/9/7, 11/9/6, 12/7/5, 13/8/8, 22/7/5, 20/7/7, 14/13/8, 15/13/4
During all time golden dice and sky captain were active. It was opened during several different part of the day (mostly morning between 9-11).

P.S. - wish I could repeat the first batch

 

[Kesh]

16/10/7 without bonuses